Sportsbook sets college football win totals; over or under for your team?
CINCINNATI (WKRC) - The Bovada sports book in Las Vegas has set the regular-season win totals and over/under odds for each of the 130 NCAA Division I Football Bowl Subdivision teams in the country and here is a look those totals for Ohio State University, the University of Cincinnati, the University of Kentucky and Miami University with a prediction for each, plus links to the entire list (odds reflect in the case of a plus the amount won with a $100 wager and for a minus the amount it would take to wager to win $100):
Ohio State University
Bovada Win Total: 10.5 (Over -150, Under +120)
The Skinny: The Buckeyes are certainly a legitimate contender to win the College Football Playoff championship and there don't appear to be any weaknesses, but there obviously isn't a lot of wiggle room with the win total. They face Oklahoma in a non-conference game, but that's at home so the Buckeyes should go 3-0 against non-conference foes. They actually open the season with a conference game at Indiana and that won't be easy because of the timing. They also have to play at Nebraska, at Iowa and at Michigan. It's certainly not out of the question for Ohio State to be 11-0 when they play in the Big House, but it will be tough. With the added value of the under I would go in that direction, but it's a tough, tough call.
University of Cincinnati
Bovada Win Total: 5.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
The Skinny: The Bearcats went just 4-8 last year and Tommy Tuberville didn't exactly leave the cupboard stocked for new head coach Luke Fickell. It's going to take a few recruiting classes to get things turned in the right direction. The Bearcats have one definitive non-conference win (the opener with Austin Peay) and one definitive loss (at Michigan). They should be able to beat Marshall at home, but the game at Miami will probably find the RedHawks favored. If UC goes 2-2 in the non-conference game that means it has to go 4-4 in American Athletic Conference games. Divisional games at USF and Temple will be tough as will a cross-division game at Navy. That's three likely losses. The good news is they don't play Houston, Tulsa or even Memphis, but I would lean toward 4-8, 5-7 and the under.
University of Kentucky
Bovada Win Total: 7 (Over +130, Under -160)
The Skinny: The Wildcats wound up winning seven games last season and that appeared almost impossible after losing their opener at home to Southern Miss. They open this season at Southern Miss, but will likely be favored. They have two easy non-conference wins (Eastern Kentucky and Eastern Michigan) and host Louisville in the regular-season finale after knocking off the Cardinals last season. A 3-1 non-conference record is plausible and 4-0 is possible. The problem is a few of the more winnable conference games on the schedule are on the road (at South Carolina, at Mississippi State and at Vanderbilt). UK does lose Alabama from the schedule and gets Ole Miss at home as a replacement. If UK can win two road games (at Georgia is the other, and that's not likely to happen) then it would need to win 2-3 home conference games to get to seven or eight wins. The home SEC games are against Florida, Tennessee, Missouri and Ole Miss. Winning two of those is possible, but winning three will be tough. The seven-win total is about right, but with some extra value with the over would go in that direction and settle for the push.
Bovada Win Total: 8 (Over +110, Under -140)
The Skinny: Wow how things have changed in a year for the RedHawks. Their over/under total last season was set at 3.5 and that appeared to be a lock before the season started and an even bigger lock when they started 0-6. Alas, they won their final six game and played Mississippi State tough in the St. Petersburg Bowl. They also have a lot coming back. The eight-win total seems a bit steep, though, considering Chuck Martin's team could go 1-3 in non-conference games (it hosts Austin Peay and UC and plays at Marshall and at Notre Dame). A 1-3 record in those games would mean the RedHawks would need to 7-1 against MAC foes just to get to eight wins and even a 2-2 record would mean they would have to go 6-2 against the MAC for a second straight year to get there. I'm leaning toward the under, but a push is very possible.